Home > BARTENDING, BASEBALL, CULTURE, SPORTS, Steven Gallanter > 2014 World Series, Royals in 7 BASEBALL, WORLD SERIES

2014 World Series, Royals in 7 BASEBALL, WORLD SERIES

WORLD SERIES 2014

 The Kansas City Royals will win the 2014 World Series.

We have reached the time of year when leaves are falling, leather jackets appear and sugary stuff fills the shelves at CVS.

Sadly, unlike 2013 I am not readying myself for remunerative bar shifts as the Red Sox begin their triumphant path.

However my interest in MLB remains as high as ever and the climb of the Royals has captured my imagination much as the Pirates did in breaking their 21 season losing “slump” in 2013.

Indeed, I have a distinct affection for the men in powder blue as the epic Royals vs. Yankees wars of 1976-78 and 1980 are among my fonder sports memories.

Indeed in my first trip back to the ancestral home of Port Washington I saw the 1978 playoff game in which George Brett hit 3 solo HRs to lead the Royals to…defeat.

Having provided some back story, my prediction is the Royals in 7.  My reasoning:

1)  The Royals have won 8 games in a row.  This is a record since the loathsome wild card format; don’t start me, began in 1995.  There is a very strong correlation between late season dominance and World Series victory.  the Royals demolished the Orioles in 4 straight although it is worth mentioning that the O’s were without 1b Chris Davis who was suspended for amphetamine use.

2)  There is also a very strong relationship between power hitting and winning the World series.  Indeed, the defeats of the 1976-78 Royals by the Yankees is strong evidence as ancient as that legacy is.

In general Moneyball beats Whiteyball.  Batting averages typically decline 10-15% during post-season play so HRs make up a higher % of runs scored.

Neither AT&T, unless you’re Barry Bonds, or Kauffman, formerly Royal Stadium, is an especially good HR park even though the fences were pulled in in K.C. when the field was converted from turf to grass in 1995.

The Royals’ offense is based upon putting the ball in play, doubles and efficiently aggressive base running.  The 2014 Giants are a far cry from the 2003 Giants in their power potential and…

…do not figure to out slug the Royals because…

3)  The K.C. bullpen of Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis and Gregg Holland has been well nigh untouchable as of late with all 3 hurlers having <2.00 ERAs.

(Interestingly enough the Royals do not carry a lefty to lefty dude let alone the 2 that most teams carry in this era of 12 man pitching staffs.  Greg Holland’s tactic of pitching from the extreme 1st base side of the rubber takes away the inside of the plate from lefties.)

It is a virtual certainty that Royals’ skipper Ned Yost will go to the pen as early as the 5th. inning if Jeremy Guthrie, Yordano Ventura or Danny Vargas struggles although James Shields will likely get a longer leash.

The Royals will enjoy the home field advantage in the 2-3-2 format of the World Series courtesy of MLB Commissioner Bud Selig’s whimsical decision to award the home field advantage to the league that won the All Star Game.

(Why not award the home field advantage to the team with the most regular season wins so as to restore the moral imperative of the regular season?  After all, baseball is a day to day sport).

The Royals will be able to utilize the DH in their home games with Billy “Country Breakfast” Butler getting the call.  Butler’s rotund physique failed to produce its usual 40 doubles and 15 HRs this year and he figures to be of minimal impact in this World series.  The Giants figure to use 4th. outfielder Gregor Blanco.  It is worth mentioning that neither the Royals or the Giants had a player with a .500 slugging percentage this year.  AL teams of recent vintage, the 2013 Red
Sox being a perfect example, have loaded up on lefty bats but the Royals have not done this.  I do not anticipate the Royals or the Giants deriving a significant advantage from DHs.

So…a hot Royals team with a deep bullpen that isn’t likely to be out slugged will win in 7.

So… more than you need to know.

Play Ball!

 

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